Analysis by cost?

https://www.bespacific.com/forecasting-the-economic-effects-of-ai/

Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI

We completed the most comprehensive study of how economists and AI experts think AI will affect the U.S. economy. Forecasting Research Institute. Mar 31, 2026. “There is widespread disagreement over the impact that AI will—or won’t—have on the U.S. economy: some prominent voices warn of a transformative upheaval and large-scale job losses, while others predict modest boosts to productivity at best. But there has been little work attempting to systematically understand expert views on the economic impacts of AI. What do top economists predict will be the economic consequences of AI—and why do they hold those beliefs? In a new working paper, researchers from the Forecasting Research Institute and coauthors from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Yale School of Management, Stanford University, and the University of Pennsylvania present results from a large-scale forecasting exercise tracking the views of 69 leading economists, 52 AI industry and policy experts, 38 highly accurate forecasters, and 401 members of the general public.

• The survey ran from mid-October 2025 to the end of February 2026. This post summarizes the key findings. For more details, refer to the full working paper. We also built a tool so you can compare your own forecasts of AI’s economic impact to economists’ forecasts. When you submit your forecasts, you will get a shareable image that compares your predictions to economists’ predictions…”

Everything you ever wanted to know…

https://hai.stanford.edu/news/inside-the-ai-index-12-takeaways-from-the-2026-report

Inside the AI Index: 12 Takeaways from the 2026 Report

This year's AI Index report reveals AI's capabilities are advancing quickly; less so, our ability to measure and manage them.

Led by a steering committee of academic and industry experts and produced by the Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI, the Artificial Intelligence Index has tracked the field's evolution since 2017, measuring everything from technical capabilities and research output to societal impact and public perception. What began as an effort to bring rigor and transparency to AI's rapid development has become the field's most comprehensive annual snapshot—a data-driven portrait of where artificial intelligence stands, where it's headed, and what it means for society. 

The new report shows that AI models are achieving breakthrough results in science and complex reasoning, but at a concerning environmental toll. America is outspending any other country on AI, but is finding it harder to attract top talent. Meanwhile, AI’s workforce disruption has moved from prediction to reality, hitting young workers first. 

What follows are the year’s most significant developments in AI, or read the full report.